Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.103609 3.620260 4.211053 4.939831 5.819023 6.850899 8.161655
2025-01-26 2.458271 3.154591 4.045116 5.282484 6.980966 9.265554 12.631107
2025-02-02 2.091775 2.855368 3.906373 5.488922 7.865066 11.389030 17.184222
2025-02-09 1.856221 2.662215 3.839444 5.733537 8.800742 13.749535 22.723177
2025-02-16 1.642435 2.452646 3.695357 5.808987 9.459658 15.798257 28.339886
2025-02-23 1.481395 2.291884 3.589917 5.910314 10.160488 18.059602 35.038201
2025-03-02 1.322820 2.108771 3.414685 5.851573 10.550357 19.827980 41.327731
2025-03-09 1.218915 1.999680 3.343803 5.959186 11.264553 22.395421 50.255472
2025-03-16 1.107218 1.861531 3.200309 5.901751 11.631711 24.322661 58.395198
2025-03-23 1.016738 1.749029 3.086460 5.879848 12.063778 26.500774 68.048807
2025-03-30 0.927098 1.627181 2.938424 5.762293 12.258406 28.168027 76.994364
2025-04-06 0.869237 1.557777 2.881754 5.826411 12.882501 31.077375 90.992538
2025-04-13 0.783938 1.435914 2.724730 5.690886 13.116489 33.367780 105.474250
2025-04-20 0.754676 1.422443 2.791480 6.089149 14.847260 40.643216 143.173346
2025-04-27 0.715011 1.381744 2.793097 6.333044 16.248569 47.590574 185.798201
2025-05-04 0.682540 1.351189 2.811290 6.621962 17.876676 56.091983 243.879121
2025-05-11 0.639729 1.292651 2.756767 6.711151 18.943602 63.206940 303.317150
2025-05-18 0.603343 1.243517 2.716551 6.830978 20.156493 71.568895 380.512236
2025-05-25 0.560070 1.173578 2.616120 6.761506 20.724698 77.681087 452.579479
2025-06-01 0.531542 1.134172 2.585269 6.888792 22.036810 87.867844 569.820470
2025-06-08 0.496228 1.074736 2.495424 6.820849 22.620315 95.100442 677.588994
2025-06-15 0.466252 1.024798 2.423473 6.794944 23.369597 103.727797 815.759515
2025-06-22 0.434287 0.966640 2.322215 6.655951 23.630457 110.043516 946.391598